Sunday, September 04, 2005

Second Place

They're trying to give me a bit of hope.

The Giants have vaulted themselves into 2nd place in the division with a 9-4 victory over the Diamondbacks yesterday. This could mean one of two things:
  1. The Giants, now in 2nd place, stand a chance to catch the San Diego Padres for 1st place.
  2. The Giants, now in 2nd place, stand as little of a chance to catch the San Diego Padres for 1st place as they did a week ago, or a month ago.

In a sense, they're both true -- the Giants have always stood a chance, but it's in the same league as people surviving direct strikes of lightning. Yes, it's happened before, but if I were a betting man...

Let's think. The Giants have 28 games left in this season, and stand 6.5 games back. In essence, they'll have to gain one game on the Padres for every four games played. It sounds very, very possible, when we see that the Giants play the Padres seven times before it's all said and done. I mean, the Giants can gain a game each time they beat the Padres, right? Well, yes.

But they'll also lose a game every time they lose to the Padres, something that isn't out of the realm of possibility.

To put it another way, on July 25th I wrote about the Giants chances over at Small Ball when they were 7.5 games back, saying that they needed to try and gain a few games before month's end before the tough August schedule got underway. Well, it's now 38 days and 36 games later, and the Giants have gained... game. One game in the standings. Uno.

You see my dilemma, no? If the Giants can only gain one game in 36 games, I'm not going to have lots of faith in their ability to gain seven games in 28 games.


But 2nd place is much, much better than 4th place, and any place ahead of the Dodgers is hallowed ground.


bigfly71 said...

The Padres starting pitching is so up and down, with Williams, Eaton, Park, and Lawrence either giving up 2 runs or 7 runs. If they didn't have Peavy I would bet $100 on the Giants to overtake them but as long as he pitches well I think the Giants will fall 3 or 4 games short. Of course this all changes if Bonds comes back next week and cranks 10 homers, but I'm not counting on that, as much as thinking about it makes me drool all over myself.

Aneel said...

There's a part of me that wants to ask "Do I even WANT the Giants to win the NL West??" It'll only encourage the ownership to continue running the team in the same way. But then, the fan in me takes over and says "Of COURSE I want them to win the West, what are you, stupid or somethin'?"

I just watched the Padres lose to the Brewers on a squeeze bunt in the bottom of the 9th inning... could this actually happen?? Even if it doesn't, I'll be grateful for an exciting September.

Daniel said...

I've come around to the point now where I have to admit it's possible -- the Padres are just as bad of a team as the Giants, Dodgers, and Diamdbacks, but simply had that very hot May and they're trying to ride it to the division title (much like the Royals rode a hot April 2003 to almost win their division that year).

But yes, it'll make for a more interesting September, if nothing else.