I say so, and thus it is true.
He took up a big chunk of my challenge on the previous post about Pedro Feliz (knowing that I am hopelessly lazy and wouldn't do it myself), and looked up Pedro's history as far as three walk games.
His comment is here. It blows my theory that Feliz has never walked three times in one game before yesterday's Randy Winn's Cycle Special, but I was pretty darned close: Feliz has only walked three times in game twice in his career, including yesterday. Read Nick's complete comment, though, because the other walk totals for Feliz are still enlightening...or depressing, depending on one's perspective (makes me wanna slash my wrists, personally...WALK MORE, PEDRO!).
So, as the numbers show, only .4% of the time Feliz walks -- and what I'm going to do is assume that Feliz did not walk three consecutive times in that other game like he did last night, and cut last night's occurence to a .2% chance.
Now, I am going to attempt to get off my large, ghetto-similar booty and do some of my own research to determine whether Feliz' three-consecutive-walk game is more or less rare than a cycle.
Wish me luck, going into the jungle of numbers that is...statistics. My work computer will serve as my machete.
UPDATE: Okay, I've determined that there have been 250 cycles hit since the year 1882. For the purposes of this comparison, I'm just going to start at that year.
250 cycles/123 seasons of major league baseball = 2.03 cycles per seasons. So close to a round "two" that I'm just going to say there are two cycles hit per year on average.
Pedro Feliz has played in 523 career games, or a small chunk over three years of major league baseball (3.22 seasons). In that time, he's drawn three walks in a game twice. So...
2 three-walk-games/3.22 seasons = .62 three-walk-games per season.
So, ladies and gents, as I first surmised (and again, thanks to Nick), that the more rare occurence that we saw yesterday was NOT the Randy Winn cycle, but the Pedro Feliz three-walk-game.